Crude Palm Oil Prediction Based on Backpropagation Neural Network Approach

Abstract

Crude palm oil (CPO) production at PT. Perkebunan Nusantara (PTPN) XIII from January 2015 to January 2018 have been treated. This paper aims to predict CPO production using intelligent algorithms called Backpropagation Neural Network (BPNN). The accuracy of prediction algorithms have been measured by mean square error (MSE). The experiment showed that the best hidden layer architecture (HLA) is 5-10-11-12-13-1 with learning function (LF) of trainlm, activation function (AF) of logsig and purelin, and learning rate (LR) of 0.5. This architecture has a good accuracy with MSE of 0.0643. The results showed that this model can predict CPO production in 2019.